RBA Expected to Maintain Current Interest Rate Amid Economic Jitters
RBA Expected to Maintain Current Interest Rate Amid Economic Jitters
1
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
Tuesday's meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain the current cash rate at 4.35%.
However, borrowers are being advised to brace themselves for possible future rate hikes as the board remains cautious about future economic shifts.
According to Gareth Aird, Head of Australian Economics at Commonwealth Bank, the rate is likely to stay the same for now, but the RBA’s stance might still be open to future changes based on evolving economic data. "We expect no changes to the cash rate but the board will likely state that it remains vigilant on potential inflationary pressures," Aird predicts.
Should Aird's projections hold true, the RBA would keep the rate at a 12-year high, aiming to bring inflation down to its 2-3% target by mid-2026.
"The likelihood of a rate change is minimal," Aird noted, stressing that RBA Governor Michele Bullock usually echoes the same sentiment about remaining alert to inflation risks while acknowledging GDP growth uncertainties.
Relief washed over Australians on Wednesday when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June revealed a slight increase from 3.6% to 3.8%, which, while still higher than RBA's goal, aligns with their forecasts. More crucially, the core inflation rate-or the trimmed mean CPI-dipped slightly from 4% to 3.9%.
The quarterly August Statement of Monetary Policy, to be released concurrently with the cash rate announcement, includes the federal government’s $300 energy rebate. Stephen Wu of CommBank suggests this could potentially lead the RBA to revise headline inflation figures downward, while predictions for the underlying CPI would likely remain static.
"The statement will probably reaffirm that the path for interest rates remains uncertain," Wu wrote, acknowledging any favorable inflation data would still keep the existing narrative intact and deter immediate changes in policy.
This cautionary approach persists despite predictions from some economists about a possible rate decrease before Christmas. Financial services website RateCity has advised borrowers to acquaint themselves with the prospect of another rate hike, given the stubborn nature of inflation.
RateCity’s research director, Sally Tindall, highlighted that even a modest rise of 25 basis points would add approximately $75 to monthly payments on a $500,000 mortgage, accumulating to a total of $1,285 in increased payments since May 2022.
For instance, those with a $750,000 mortgage would face monthly increases of around $112, pushing the total rise in payments to $1,928 during the same period.
"This scenario aligns well within the RBA’s planned timeline but also underscores the urgency should inflation rates not decline soon," Tindall said, urging vigilance and preparedness among borrowers.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers has avoided making specific predictions ahead of Tuesday’s RBA decision, despite acknowledging that the recent inflation readings showed encouraging signs amid continuing cost-of-living challenges.
Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor, meanwhile, has criticized the government’s spending habits, blaming increased government expenditure for feeding inflation. "The government must complement the RBA’s efforts by controlling fiscal policy, and their failure to do so leaves Australia lagging behind other G10 countries," he said.
For ongoing updates, you can visit the original publication on TheIntercept.com.
Published:Monday, 5th Aug 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
Recent data indicates a notable increase in calls to financial helplines across Australia, coinciding with the Australian Taxation Office's (ATO) intensified debt recovery initiatives. This trend underscores the growing financial strain on individuals and small businesses grappling with tax debts. - read more
Australian businesses are increasingly turning to financial brokers to navigate the complexities of debt management amid rising insolvency rates. In November 2024, business insolvencies surged to 70% above the historical average, highlighting the urgent need for effective debt strategies. - read more
Amid escalating financial pressures, Australians are increasingly turning to debt consolidation loans as a strategy to manage multiple debts more effectively. Recent research indicates a 170% surge in such loan applications over the past year, with the average loan amount reaching $33,000 and some as high as $68,000. - read more
Recent research has unveiled a concerning trend among Australian couples: a significant portion are engaging in financial activities without their partners' knowledge. A survey conducted by Finder, involving 1,017 respondents-591 of whom are in relationships-found that over one in four (27%) are secretly accumulating debt, opening bank accounts, or gambling, all unbeknownst to their partners. - read more
A recent survey has brought to light a concerning financial reality for many Australians: 43% of the population, equivalent to approximately 9.2 million people, have less than $1,000 in their bank accounts. This statistic underscores a significant vulnerability, as even minor unexpected expenses could lead to financial distress for a substantial portion of the community. - read more
High-interest debt can feel like a relentless cycle for many in Australia, often making it challenging to gain financial ground. Whether it's credit card debt, personal loans, or other forms of borrowing, the compounded interest can quickly become overwhelming. Fortunately, debt negotiation presents a viable solution for those caught in this dilemma, offering a ray of hope to reduce financial burden. - read more
Welcome to Financial Planning 101: How to Get Ahead of Your Debt! If you're feeling overwhelmed by your financial situation, you're not alone. Many people struggle with managing debt and finding ways to achieve financial stability. - read more
In a world marked by economic uncertainties and the ever-mounting cost of living, the importance of a sound family budget cannot be overstated. Today's economic climate necessitates not just prudent but strategic financial planning. With the right budget in place, families can navigate the choppy waters of their finances, avoiding the all-too-common pitfalls of overspending and under-saving. - read more
Welcome to our guide on how to avoid falling back into debt after consolidating your debts. Debt consolidation can be a fantastic way to manage multiple financial obligations, combining them into a single, more manageable payment plan. But the journey doesn’t end there. - read more
Welcome to our comprehensive guide where we aim to debunk common myths surrounding debt consolidation and debt reduction. This blog post serves as a beacon of clarity for those who find themselves navigating through the choppy waters of financial jargon and conflicting information. - read more
