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Bear Market:
A market condition where the prices of securities are falling, and widespread pessimism causes the negative sentiment to be self-sustaining.

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Market Tremors as Trade Tensions Escalate

The Australian stock market and currency faced significant setbacks as US trade policies unfolded, signaling a turbulent economic outlook.

The recent imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration has sparked concerns of a looming global trade war, with China, Australia's principal trading partner, at the center of the conflict.

By midday on Monday, the S&P/ASX200 index had recorded its steepest decline in nearly two years, tumbling 167.7 points to 8,364.6, marking a 1.97% decrease. Similarly, the All Ordinaries index mirrored this downward trajectory, dropping by 1.95% to 8,618.5. These figures follow a similar decline earlier in September, although the current scenario hints at a more profound market response.

Amidst this financial turmoil, the Australian dollar also experienced a sharp depreciation against the US dollar, reaching its lowest valuation since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. The currency dropped from 62.25 US cents to 61.16 US cents in a matter of days, reflecting heightened investor anxiety.

This market unrest was provoked by President Trump's decision to levy a 25% tariff on influential North American trade partners, Mexico and Canada, alongside a 10% tariff on Chinese goods. "This will be the golden age of America!" Trump declared on social media, acknowledging potential economic discomfort.

In reaction to these events, Elsa Lignos, the global head of FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets based in London, observed, "This is a big shock that we weren't priced for...I think he actually believes tariffs are going to be the new income tax." Lignos' insights contrast perennial assumptions that Trump's tactics were primarily for political leverage rather than substantive economic reform.

In response, both China and affected North American nations have vowed retaliatory measures, heightening the stakes on the global economic stage.

Significant declines were observed across all sectors, with materials and mining facing the most severe impact, plummeting by 2.1%. Notably, major entities such as Fortescue, BHP, and Rio Tinto experienced losses of 4.7%, 1.8%, and 2.9%, respectively. The New Zealand-based Fisher & Paykel Healthcare saw a 7.1% decline, partly due to its manufacturing dependency on Mexico, highlighting vulnerabilities in global supply chains.

Financial institutions weren't spared, as the primary Australian banks recorded declines, including NAB, which fell by 1.8%, followed by Westpac, CBA, and ANZ.

Meanwhile, Westgold Resources faced an 11.4% recoil, reflecting internal operational challenges amidst an already volatile market environment.

Originally reported by AAP, this situation warrants close monitoring as the ramifications of escalating trade tensions unfold further.

Published:Monday, 3rd Feb 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

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