Housing Crisis in Australia: Deeper Trouble Ahead

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Issues such as high construction costs have accelerated the cost of building in major cities at a rate that outpaces property price growth. It increasingly appears more financially sound to purchase an existing home rather than build a new one.

According to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic's research director, "the cost of construction is yet to decline and it remains approximately 30% more expensive to build or renovate now compared to pre-COVID times," reflecting a prolonged period of inflating expenses.

SQM Research's founder and managing director, Louis Christopher, has expressed concern. He pointed out that "indicators show no signs of an imminent increase in housing supply," and has projected that there will be only "138,000 new dwellings completed by FY25."

PropTrack's executive manager for economic research, Cameron Kusher, noted, "Building approvals have plunged to their lowest in a decade. The pandemic-induced rise in construction costs, labour shortages, and 12-year high interest rates have severely impacted new constructions."

Adding to the discourse, Ben Burston, chief economist at Knight Frank, warned that "restoring high levels of housing construction will be a laborious task" due to the steep increments in both construction and financing costs.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that only 163,800 homes were approved for construction in the year up to May. This is 32% (or 76,200 homes) short of the Albanese government’s 240,000 annual housing target.

It is crucial to note that the Albanese government’s target of 240,000 homes annually is unprecedented. The closest the nation came to meeting such a goal was in 2017 when 223,600 homes were built, which was still 7% below the target. This was achieved with a cash rate of 1.5%, compared to the current rate of 4.35%.

Back in 2017, builders also faced lower construction costs (some 40% less than today) and did not compete for labour with state government infrastructure projects. In comparison, data from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) show that nearly 3,000 construction firms went bankrupt in the 2023-2024 financial year, reducing the sector’s productive capacity.

Given these macroeconomic conditions, it seems highly improbable for the Albanese government’s housing targets to be met, and dwelling completion rates are likely to remain low in the near term.

Ultimately, a long-term resolution to Australia’s housing shortage may necessitate reducing net overseas migration, hence easing the population demand below the nation’s housing and infrastructure supply capacity.

If these structural issues aren't addressed, Australia's housing crisis is poised to exacerbate.

Published:Tuesday, 16th Jul 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Understanding APRA's New Mortgage Lending Limits

27 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at enhancing the stability of the housing market. Effective from February 2026, APRA will implement a cap limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio exceeding six times their income. This measure applies separately to both owner-occupier and investor loans. - read more

NAB's Forecast: Rising Bad Debts in a Volatile Economy

27 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

National Australia Bank (NAB) has issued a cautionary statement regarding an anticipated increase in bad debts, attributing this outlook to mounting global instability and a fragile domestic economy. The bank expects credit impairment charges to reach approximately $706 million for the first half of 2026, marking an increase of around $300 million from previous forecasts. - read more

APRA's Perspective on Australia's Financial Vulnerabilities

27 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In a recent address at the 2026 AFR Banking Summit, Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) Chair John Lonsdale highlighted several factors that render Australia's financial system particularly susceptible to global shocks. He pointed out the nation's reliance on overseas markets for funding, its open and trade-exposed economy, and a concentrated banking industry heavily invested in residential mortgages. - read more

Electric Vehicle Financing Soars Amidst Market Decline

19 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In February 2026, the Australian Finance Industry Association (AFIA) reported a remarkable 48% year-on-year increase in electric vehicle (EV) financing. This surge occurred despite a nearly 3% decline in the overall motor finance market, indicating a strong consumer shift towards sustainable transportation options. - read more

APRA's New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans Explained

11 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has implemented a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective from 1 February 2026, APRA has introduced a cap limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio exceeding six times their income. This measure applies separately to owner-occupier and investor loans, reflecting APRA's commitment to maintaining financial stability. - read more

Click for more Finance News