Housing Crisis in Australia: Deeper Trouble Ahead

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Issues such as high construction costs have accelerated the cost of building in major cities at a rate that outpaces property price growth. It increasingly appears more financially sound to purchase an existing home rather than build a new one.

According to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic's research director, "the cost of construction is yet to decline and it remains approximately 30% more expensive to build or renovate now compared to pre-COVID times," reflecting a prolonged period of inflating expenses.

SQM Research's founder and managing director, Louis Christopher, has expressed concern. He pointed out that "indicators show no signs of an imminent increase in housing supply," and has projected that there will be only "138,000 new dwellings completed by FY25."

PropTrack's executive manager for economic research, Cameron Kusher, noted, "Building approvals have plunged to their lowest in a decade. The pandemic-induced rise in construction costs, labour shortages, and 12-year high interest rates have severely impacted new constructions."

Adding to the discourse, Ben Burston, chief economist at Knight Frank, warned that "restoring high levels of housing construction will be a laborious task" due to the steep increments in both construction and financing costs.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that only 163,800 homes were approved for construction in the year up to May. This is 32% (or 76,200 homes) short of the Albanese government’s 240,000 annual housing target.

It is crucial to note that the Albanese government’s target of 240,000 homes annually is unprecedented. The closest the nation came to meeting such a goal was in 2017 when 223,600 homes were built, which was still 7% below the target. This was achieved with a cash rate of 1.5%, compared to the current rate of 4.35%.

Back in 2017, builders also faced lower construction costs (some 40% less than today) and did not compete for labour with state government infrastructure projects. In comparison, data from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) show that nearly 3,000 construction firms went bankrupt in the 2023-2024 financial year, reducing the sector’s productive capacity.

Given these macroeconomic conditions, it seems highly improbable for the Albanese government’s housing targets to be met, and dwelling completion rates are likely to remain low in the near term.

Ultimately, a long-term resolution to Australia’s housing shortage may necessitate reducing net overseas migration, hence easing the population demand below the nation’s housing and infrastructure supply capacity.

If these structural issues aren't addressed, Australia's housing crisis is poised to exacerbate.

Published:Tuesday, 16th Jul 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Anticipated RBA Rate Hikes in March and May 2026: What Borrowers Need to Know

26 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's financial landscape is bracing for potential shifts as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to implement interest rate hikes in both March and May 2026. This anticipation stems from the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, which indicate a trimmed mean inflation rate of 3.4% in January-exceeding the RBA's target range of 2% to 3%. - read more

Rising Fuel Prices in Australia: The Impact of Middle East Conflicts

26 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent escalations in Middle East conflicts have had a direct impact on global oil markets, leading to a significant rise in fuel prices across Australia. The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, has been the site of multiple attacks on fuel tankers, intensifying concerns over supply disruptions. - read more

Australia's Employment Landscape: A 3.2% Rise in Job Advertisements Signals Strength

26 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

In a positive development for Australia's economy, the number of job advertisements has increased by 3.2% in February 2026, reaching levels not seen since October 2024. This uptick suggests a resilient labour market, even as the nation faces broader economic uncertainties. - read more

Australians Cite Housing Expenses as Leading Financial Stressor in 2026

18 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

As Australians navigate the financial landscape of 2026, housing costs have emerged as the predominant concern, with 22% of respondents in Canstar's latest Consumer Pulse Report identifying mortgage and rent expenses as their primary financial stressor. This figure has more than doubled over the past five years, reflecting the escalating burden of housing affordability. - read more

Understanding the RBA's February Rate Cut and Its Impact on Your Finances

10 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

In February 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reduced the cash rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it down to 4.10%. This move, the first rate cut since November 2020, aims to stimulate economic growth amid slowing inflation and global uncertainties. - read more

Click for more Finance News